ACT Population Projections: 2009 to 2059
ACT Population Projections: 2009 to 2059
ACT Population Projections: 2009 to 2059 [XLS 1MB]
ACT Population Projections: 2009 to 2059 [
PDF 286KB]
Projected ACT Population
It is projected that the Territory will reach a population of 400,000 by 2018; and 500,000 by 2043.
Canberra is also expected to experience significant population ageing during this time with those aged 65 and over set to increase from 10.2 per cent of the population in 2009 to 21.9 per cent in 2059.
| Year |
Projected ACT Population |
Median Age |
|---|---|---|
| 2009 |
352,189 |
33.7 years |
| 2014 |
379,791 |
34.2 years |
| 2019 |
404,958 |
35.2 years |
| 2024 |
428,014 |
36.3 years |
| 2029 |
449,304 |
37.4 years |
| 2034 |
468,810 |
38.0 years |
| 2039 |
487,161 |
38.4 years |
| 2044 |
505,200 |
38.5 years |
| 2049 |
523,132 |
38.8 years |
| 2054 |
540,769 |
39.3 years |
| 2059 |
557,443 |
39.9 years |
![ACT Population Projections: 2009 to 2059 [Chart]](http://www.cmd.act.gov.au/__data/assets/image/0003/192342/Projected_Poplation_Chart.jpg)
![ACT Populuation Projections 2009 to 2059 [Age Structure]](http://www.cmd.act.gov.au/__data/assets/image/0007/192346/Projected_Population_Pyramid.jpg)
ACT Population Projection Assumptions
The official ACT population projections take into account Estimated Resident Population data, as released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), as well as the most recent assumptions on fertility, mortality and migration.
| Component of Population Change | ACT Population Projection Assumptions |
|---|---|
| Fertility (Total Fertility Rate) | 1.75 |
| Life Expectancy at Birth | Assumes life expectancy at birth will reach 86 years for males and 88 years for females over the projection period (linear improvement in life expectancy) |
| Average Annual Migrataion Levels | |
| Net International Migration |
2,500 persons per annum in 2009 and 2010 2,000 persons per annum in 2011 and 2015 1,500 persons per annum for the remainder of the projection period |
| Net Interstate Migration | 0 persons per annum |
Previous ACT Government Population Projections
ACT Population Projections: 2007 to 2056 [ PDF 3.6MB]
ACT Population Projections for Suburbs and Districts: 2007 to 2019 [ PDF 4.6MB]
